Get out the vote tomorrow with America Votes
Three of the last four polls have showed Democratic gubernatorial nominee Bill Ritter with a lead of at least 16 points. He has already earned the endorsement of at least one of the major dailies and a few Western Slope newspapers. He's won the support of bipartisan coalitions of businesspeople, law enforcement professionals and veterans, in addition to all of the the normal Democratic-leaning organizations.
So is this thing, like, totally over?
I once wrote that the Beauprez campaign's only hope is to step back and let Trailhead/Coloradans for Justice spread lies about Ritter. But there's a second part of their gameplan that should have been obvious when I read this story a few days ago:
A self-described Republican "attack dog" credited with the GOP's remarkable voter turnout in 2002 has joined Bob Beauprez's gubernatorial campaign... Republicans have 172,566 more registered voters than Democrats, and Truebner wants to make sure the GOP turns out in force, as it did in 2002.
The GOP has a formidable GOTV machine. And as conservative commentator Michael Barone wrote in US News:
[O]ne thing the polls can't measure is turnout. In the 2004 election, turnout proved to be crucial. Total turnout was up 16 percent from 2000 - a historic increase. John Kerry received 16 percent more votes than Al Gore did in 2000. George W. Bush received 23 percent more votes than he did four years before. The mainstream media devoted much attention to Democratic turnout efforts - a legitimate story - and in fact the Democratic turnout drive was very successful. But the Bush Cheney '04 turnout drive, to which the mainstream media gave very little coverage, was even more successful. In my view, the big question about the 2006 and 2008 elections will once again be turnout.
"One thing the polls can't measure is turnout." Ouch. If we don't turn out our base, we will lose.
Visit America Votes to learn about tomorrow's national day of action and their GOTV efforts in Colorado.
So is this thing, like, totally over?
I once wrote that the Beauprez campaign's only hope is to step back and let Trailhead/Coloradans for Justice spread lies about Ritter. But there's a second part of their gameplan that should have been obvious when I read this story a few days ago:
A self-described Republican "attack dog" credited with the GOP's remarkable voter turnout in 2002 has joined Bob Beauprez's gubernatorial campaign... Republicans have 172,566 more registered voters than Democrats, and Truebner wants to make sure the GOP turns out in force, as it did in 2002.
The GOP has a formidable GOTV machine. And as conservative commentator Michael Barone wrote in US News:
[O]ne thing the polls can't measure is turnout. In the 2004 election, turnout proved to be crucial. Total turnout was up 16 percent from 2000 - a historic increase. John Kerry received 16 percent more votes than Al Gore did in 2000. George W. Bush received 23 percent more votes than he did four years before. The mainstream media devoted much attention to Democratic turnout efforts - a legitimate story - and in fact the Democratic turnout drive was very successful. But the Bush Cheney '04 turnout drive, to which the mainstream media gave very little coverage, was even more successful. In my view, the big question about the 2006 and 2008 elections will once again be turnout.
"One thing the polls can't measure is turnout." Ouch. If we don't turn out our base, we will lose.
Visit America Votes to learn about tomorrow's national day of action and their GOTV efforts in Colorado.
2 Comments:
Just got an e-mail from Ritter campaign. Rocky Mountain News endorses Ritter.
Polls and endorsements don't win elections. Votes do (well, even then I'm not so sure).
Don't get complacent - vote early, then volunteer for your team.
Huzzah!
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