How much press will it take for Winter, others?
A couple nights ago, I talked with a Democratic activist who was pretty thrilled with the recent press given to Bill Winter and the Fighting Dems and Mayor John Hickenlooper.
But there is a reason why I'm not satisfied. Check out these United States House incumbent reelection rates from Chris Cillizza's Washington Post blog:
1998 -- 98%
2000 -- 98%
2002 -- 96%
2004-- 98%
While a good portion of districts have been gerrymandered, I can't believe that only 2% of House seats can possibly change hands. Name recognition plays a huge role. And even if Republican Joel Hefley retires and Tom Tancredo quits the House to run for Overlord of the Mexican Border, Democratic challengers like Bill Winter and Jay Fawcett will have a tough time. For them, there simply is no amount of press that is "too much."
But there is a reason why I'm not satisfied. Check out these United States House incumbent reelection rates from Chris Cillizza's Washington Post blog:
1998 -- 98%
2000 -- 98%
2002 -- 96%
2004-- 98%
While a good portion of districts have been gerrymandered, I can't believe that only 2% of House seats can possibly change hands. Name recognition plays a huge role. And even if Republican Joel Hefley retires and Tom Tancredo quits the House to run for Overlord of the Mexican Border, Democratic challengers like Bill Winter and Jay Fawcett will have a tough time. For them, there simply is no amount of press that is "too much."
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